Robotic and navigated TKA procedures have been introduced to improve component placement precision for the purpose of improving implant survivorship and other clinical outcomes. Although numerous studies have shown enhanced precision in placing components, adoption of technology-assistance (TA) for TKA has been relatively slow. One reason for this has been the difficulty in demonstrating the cost-effectiveness of implementing TA-TKA systems and assessing their impact on revision rates. In this study, we aimed to use a simulation approach to answer the following questions: (1) Can we determine the distribution of likely reductions in TKA revision rates attributable to TA-TKA in an average US patient population? And, (2) What reduction in TKA revision rates are required to achieve economic neutrality? In a previous study, we developed a method for creating large sets of simulated TKA patient populations with distributions of patient-specific factors (age at index surgery, sex, BMI) and one surgeon-controlled factor (coronal alignment) drawn from registry data and published literature. Effect sizes of each factor on implant survival was modeled using large clinical studies. For 10,000 simulated TKA patients, we simulated 20,000 TKA surgeries, evenly split between groups representing coronal alignment precisions reported for manual (±3°) and TA-TKA (±1.0°), calculating the patient-specific survival curve for each group. Extending our previous study, we incorporated the probability of each patient's expected survival into our model using publicly available actuarial data. This allowed us to calculate a patient-specific estimate of the Reduction in Lifetime Risk of Revision (RLRR) for each simulated patient. Our analysis showed that 90% of patients will achieve an RLRRof 1.5% or less in an average US TKA population. We then conducted a simplified economic analysis with the goal of determining the net cost of using TA-TKA per case when factoring in future savings by TKA revision rates. We assumed an average cost of revision surgery to be $75,000 as reported by Delanois (2017) and an average added cost incurred by TA-TKA to be $6,000 per case as reported by Antonis (2019). We estimate the net cost per TA-TKA case ( Based on these results, it appears that it would not be cost-effective to use TA-TKA on more than a small fraction of the typical US TKA patient population if the goal is to reduce overall costs through reducing revision risks. However, we note that this simulation does not consider other possible reported benefits of TA-TKA surgery, such as improved functional and pain outcome scores which may justify its use on other grounds. Alternative costs incurred by TA-TKA will be evaluated in a future study. To reach economic neutrality, TA-TKA systems either must reduce the added cost per intervention or increase RLRR by better addressing the root causes of revision.
Innovations in surgical robotics and navigation have significantly improved implant placement accuracy in total knee arthroplasty (TKA). However, many comparative studies have not been shown to substantially improve revision rates or other clinical outcome scores. We conducted a simulation study based on the reported distribution of patient-specific characteristics and estimated potential effect of coronal plane alignment (CPA) on risk of revision to evaluate the hypothesis that most published study designs in this area have been too underpowered to detect improvements in revision rates. To model previously reported studies, we generated a series of simulated TKA patient populations, assigning each patient a set of patient-specific factors (age at index surgery, BMI, and sex (Fig.1a)), as well as one surgeon-controlled factor (CPA) (Fig.1b) based on registry data and published literature. We modelled the survival probability for an individual patient at time To evaluate power associated with a study design, we ran a Monte Carlo simulation generating 10,000 simulated populations of ten different cohort sizes. We divided the patient population into two groups: one group was assigned CPAs governed by the precision of a navigated/robotic approach (σ=1.5°), and the other CPAs governed by the precision of a conventional approach (σ=3°). We then simulated the time to failure for each patient, computed the corresponding Kaplan-Meier survival curves, and applied a Log-Rank test to each study to test for statistical difference. From the 10,000 simulations associated with each cohort size, we determined the percentage of simulated studies that found a statistically significant difference at each time point.Introduction
Methods
Five vascularised allografts of the knee joint were performed in dogs immunosuppressed with cyclosporin A and azathioprine. Three survived with normal function for 3 to 4 months after operation. One of the unsuccessful grafts had a failed vascular anastomosis, the other an inadequate blood level of cyclosporin A. All three successful grafts healed well. In two, bone scans, radiographs and biopsies were indistinguishable from successful autografts; in the third the blood supply to the graft failed despite patent anastomoses but the graft healed well with good function. All three grafts were rejected within 2 to 3 weeks of withdrawal of cyclosporin A and azathioprine. In non-immunosuppressed dogs, allografts of the knee, both vascularised and non-vascularised, were rejected within a few days of operation. In two non-vascularised allografts, administration of cyclosporin and azathioprine had no apparent effect on the rate of rejection of the graft.
