This paper tests the null hypothesis that there is no difference in recurrence for mild and moderate hallux valgus treated with Scarf osteotomy in the presence of a disrupted Meary's line compared to an intact line.

At a minimum of 3 months follow up we retrospectively analysed radiographs, theatre and clinic notes of 74 consecutive patients treated with Scarf osteotomy for mild and moderate hallux valgus at a single centre. The patients were divided into Group A (n=30) – patients who on pre-operative weight bearing radiographs had a disrupted Meary's line, and Group B (n=44) – those with a normal Meary's line on pre-operative weight bearing radiographs.

Our results demonstrate a statistically significant higher recurrence in group A compared to Group B with an odds ratio of 5.2 p = 0.006 [95% CI 1.6–6]. The association between a disrupted Meary's line and increased risk of recurrence for Scarf osteotomy remains valid and strengthened to an odds ratio of 7.1 p = 0.015 [95% CI 1.46 −34.4] when adjusted for confounding variables of age, sex and pre-operative IMA. On this basis we reject the Null hypothesis.

In group A two out of 30 patients required revision surgery whilst none of the 44 patients in group B needed revision. In Group A the degree of IMA correction achieved equalled 8.1 degrees with a pre and post IMA of 16.0 and 7.9 degrees respectively. For Group B the degree of correction was 8.0 degrees with a pre and post IMA of 14.3 and 6.3 degrees respectively. Eight complications were reported in Group A and 9 in Group B.

Our results demonstrate a statistically significant increased risk of recurrence when scarf osteotomy is performed for mild and moderate hallux valgus in the presence of a disrupted Meary's line.