Approximately 20% of patients feel unsatisfied 12 months after primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA). Current predictive tools for TKA focus on the clinician as the intended user rather than the patient. The aim of this study is to develop a tool that can be used by patients without clinician assistance, to predict health-related quality of life (HRQoL) outcomes 12 months after total knee arthroplasty (TKA). All patients with primary TKAs for osteoarthritis between 2012 and 2019 at a tertiary institutional registry were analysed. The predictive outcome was improvement in Veterans-RAND 12 utility score at 12 months after surgery. Potential predictors included patient demographics, co-morbidities, and patient reported outcome scores at baseline. Logistic regression and three machine learning algorithms were used. Models were evaluated using both discrimination and calibration metrics. Predictive outcomes were categorised into deciles from 1 being the least likely to improve to 10 being the most likely to improve. 3703 eligible patients were included in the analysis. The logistic regression model performed the best in out-of-sample evaluation for both discrimination (AUC = 0.712) and calibration (gradient = 1.176, intercept = -0.116, Brier score = 0.201) metrics. Machine learning algorithms were not superior to logistic regression in any performance metric. Patients in the lowest decile (1) had a 29% probability for improvement and patients in the highest decile (10) had an 86% probability for improvement. Logistic regression outperformed machine learning algorithms in this study. The final model performed well enough with calibration metrics to accurately predict improvement after TKA using deciles. An ongoing randomised controlled trial (ACTRN12622000072718) is evaluating the effect of this tool on patient willingness for surgery. Full results of this trial are expected to be available by April 2023. A free-to-use online version of the tool is available at . smartchoice.org.au.

Heterotopic ossification (HO) is a well-known complication of traumatic elbow injuries. The reported rates of post-traumatic HO formation vary from less than 5% with simple elbow dislocations, to greater than 50% in complex fracture-dislocations. Previous studies have identified fracture-dislocations, delayed surgical intervention, and terrible triad injuries as risk factors for HO formation. There is, however, a paucity of literature regarding the accuracy of diagnosing post-traumatic elbow HO. Therefore, the purpose of our study was to determine the inter-rater reliability of HO diagnosis using standard radiographs of the elbow at 52 weeks post-injury, as well as to report on the rate of mature compared with immature HO. We hypothesized inter-rater reliability would be poor among raters for HO formation. Prospectively collected data from a large clinical trial was reviewed by three independent reviewers (one senior orthopedic resident, one senior radiology resident, and one expert upper extremity orthopedic surgeon). Each reviewer examined anonymized 52-week post-injury radiographs of the elbow and recorded: 1. the presence or absence of HO, 2. the location of HO, 3. the size of the HO (in cm, if present), and 4. the maturity of the HO formation. Maturity was defined by consensus prior to image review and defined as an area of well-defined cortical and medullary bone outside the cortical borders of the humerus, ulna, or radius. Immature lesions were defined as an area of punctate calcification with an ill-defined cloud-like density outside the cortical borders of the humerus, ulna or radius. Data were collected using a standardized online data collection form (CognizantMD, Toronto, ON, CA). Inter-rater reliability was calculated using Fleiss’ Kappa statistic and a multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify risk factors for HO formation in general, as well as mature HO at 52 weeks post injury. Statistical analysis was performed using RStudio (version1.4, RStudio, Boston, MA, USA). A total of 79 radiographs at the 52-week follow-up were reviewed (54% male, mean age 50, age SD 14, 52% operatively treated). Inter-rater reliability using Fleiss’ Kappa was k= 0.571 (p = 0.0004) indicating moderate inter-rater reliability among the three reviewers. The rate of immature HO at 52 weeks was 56%. The multivariate logistic regression analysis identified male sex as a significant risk factor for HO development (OR 5.29, 1.55-20.59 CI, p = 0.011), but not for HO maturity at 52 weeks. Age, time to surgery, and operative intervention were not found to be significant predictors for either HO formation or maturity of the lesion in this cohort. Our study demonstrates moderate inter-rater reliability in determining the presence of HO at 52 weeks post-elbow injury. There was a high rate (56%) of immature HO at 52-week follow-up. We also report the finding of male sex as a significant risk factor for post traumatic HO development. Future research directions could include investigation into possible male predominance for traumatic HO formation, as well as improving inter-rater reliability through developing a standardized and validated classification system for reporting the radiographic features of HO formation around the elbow

Aim. Whether laminar airflow (LAF) in the operating room (OR) is effective for decreasing periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) following total joint arthroplasty (TJA) remains a clinically significant yet controversial issue. This study investigated the association between operating room ventilation systems and the risk of PJI in TJA patients. Method. We performed a retrospective observational study on consecutive patients undergoing primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA) and total hip arthroplasty (THA) from January 2013-September 2017 in two surgical facilities within a single institution, with a minimum 1-year follow-up. All procedures were performed by five board-certified arthroplasty surgeons. The operating rooms at the facilities were equipped with LAF and turbulent ventilation systems, respectively. Patient characteristics were extracted from clinical records. PJI was defined according to Musculoskeletal Infection Society criteria within 1-year of the index arthroplasty. A multivariate logistic regression model was performed to explore the association between LAF and risk of 1-year PJI, and then a sensitivity analysis using propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to further validate the findings. Results. A total of 6,972 patients (2,797 TKA, 4,175 THA) were included. The incidence of PJI within 1 year for patients from the facility without laminar flow was similar at 0·4% to that of patients from the facility with laminar flow at 0·5%. In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, after all confounding factors were taken into account, the use of LAF was not significantly associated with reduction of the risk of PJI. After propensity score matching, there was no significant difference in the incidence of PJI within 1 year for patients between the two sites. Conclusions. The use of LAF in the operating room was not associated with a reduced incidence of PJI following primary TJA. With an appropriate perioperative protocol for infection prevention, LAF does not seem to play a protective role in PJI prevention

Aims. The aims of this study were to describe the demographic, socioeconomic, and educational factors associated with core surgical trainees (CSTs) who apply to and receive offers for higher surgical training (ST3) posts in Trauma & Orthopaedics (T&O). Methods. Data collected by the UK Medical Education Database (UKMED) between 1 January 2014 and 31 December 2019 were used in this retrospective longitudinal cohort study comprising 1,960 CSTs eligible for ST3. The primary outcome measures were whether CSTs applied for a T&O ST3 post and if they were subsequently offered a post. A directed acyclic graph was used for detecting confounders and adjusting logistic regression models to calculate odds ratios (ORs), which assessed the association between the primary outcomes and relevant exposures of interest, including: age, sex, ethnicity, parental socioeconomic status (SES), domiciliary status, category of medical school, Situational Judgement Test (SJT) scores at medical school, and success in postgraduate examinations. This study followed STROBE guidelines. Results. Compared to the overall cohort of CSTs, females were significantly less likely to apply to T&O (OR 0.37, 95% CI 0.30 to 0.46; n = 155/720 female vs n = 535/1,240 male; p < 0.001). CSTs who were not UK-domiciled prior to university were nearly twice as likely to apply to T&O (OR 1.99, 95% CI 1.39 to 2.85; n = 50/205 vs not UK-domiciled vs n = 585/1,580 UK-domiciled; p < 0.001). Age, ethnicity, SES, and medical school category were not associated with applying to T&O. Applicants who identified as ‘black and minority ethnic’ (BME) were significantly less likely to be offered a T&O ST3 post (OR 0.70, 95% CI 0.51 to 0.97; n = 165/265 BME vs n = 265/385 white; p = 0.034). Differences in age, sex, SES, medical school category, and SJT scores were not significantly associated with being offered a T&O ST3 post. Conclusion. There is an evident disparity in sex between T&O applicants and an ethnic disparity between those who receive offers on their first attempt. Further high-quality, prospective research in the post-COVID-19 pandemic period is needed to improve equality, diversity, and inclusion in T&O training. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2024;5(8):697–707

Aims. Sickle cell disease (SCD) is an autosomal recessive inherited condition that presents with a number of clinical manifestations that include musculoskeletal manifestations (MM). MM may present differently in different individuals and settings and the predictors are not well known. Herein, we aimed at determining the predictors of MM in patients with SCD at the University Teaching Hospital, Lusaka, Zambia. Methods. An unmatched case-control study was conducted between January and May 2019 in children below the age of 16 years. In all, 57 cases and 114 controls were obtained by systematic sampling method. A structured questionnaire was used to collect data. The different MM were identified, staged, and classified according to the Standard Orthopaedic Classification Systems using radiological and laboratory investigations. The data was entered in Epidata version 3.1 and exported to STATA 15 for analysis. Multiple logistic regression was used to determine predictors and predictive margins were used to determine the probability of MM. Results. The cases were older median age 9.5 (interquartile range (IQR) 7 to 12) years compared to controls 7 (IQR 4 to 11) years; p = 0.003. After multivariate logistic regression, increase in age (adjusted odds ratio (AOR) = 1.2, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.04 to 1.45; p = 0.043), increase in the frequency of vaso-occlusive crisis (VOC) (AOR = 1.3, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.52; p = 0.009) and increase in percentage of haemoglobin S (HbS) (AOR = 1.18, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.29; p < 0.001) were significant predictors of MM. Predictive margins showed that for a 16-year-old the average probability of having MM would be 51 percentage points higher than that of a two-year-old. Conclusion. Increase in age, frequency of VOC, and an increase in the percentage of HbS were significant predictors of MM. These predictors maybe useful to clinicians in determining children who are at risk. Cite this article: Bone Joint Open 2020;1-6:175–181

Fractures of the distal radius are common, and form a considerable proportion of the trauma workload. We conducted a study to examine the patterns of injury and treatment for adult patients presenting with distal radius fractures to a major trauma centre serving an urban population. We undertook a retrospective cohort study to identify all patients treated at our major trauma centre for a distal radius fracture between 1 June 2018 and 1 May 2021. We reviewed the medical records and imaging for each patient to examine patterns of injury and treatment. We undertook a binomial logistic regression to produce a predictive model for operative fixation or inpatient admission. Overall, 571 fractures of the distal radius were treated at our centre during the study period. A total of 146 (26%) patients required an inpatient admission, and 385 surgical procedures for fractures of the distal radius were recorded between June 2018 and May 2021. The most common mechanism of injury was a fall from a height of one metre or less. Of the total fractures, 59% (n = 337) were treated nonoperatively, and of those patients treated with surgery, locked anterior-plate fixation was the preferred technique (79%; n = 180). The epidemiology of distal radius fractures treated at our major trauma centre replicated the classical bimodal distribution described in the literature. Patient age, open fractures, and fracture classification were factors correlated with the decision to treat the fracture operatively. While most fractures were

The aim of this study was to determine the floor and ceiling effects for both the QuickDASH and PRWE following a fracture of the distal radius. Secondary aims were to determine the degree to which patients with a floor or ceiling effect felt that their wrist was ‘normal’, and if there were patient factors associated with achieving a floor or ceiling effect. A retrospective cohort study of patients sustaining a distal radius fracture and managed at the study centre during a single year was undertaken. Outcome measures included the QuickDASH, the PRWE, EuroQol-5 Dimension-3 Levels (EQ-5D-3L), and the normal wrist score. There were 526 patients with a mean age of 65yrs (20–95) and 421 (77%) were female. Most patients were managed non-operatively (73%, n=385). The mean follow-up was 4.8yrs (4.3–5.5). A ceiling effect was observed for both the QuickDASH (22.3%) and PRWE (28.5%). When defined to be within the minimum clinical important difference of the best available score, the ceiling effect increased to 62.8% for the QuickDASH and 60% for the PRWE. Patients that achieved a ceiling score for the QuickDASH and PRWE subjectively felt their wrist was only 91% and 92% normal, respectively. On logistic regression analysis, a dominant hand injury and better health-related quality of life were the common factors associated with achieving a ceiling score for both the QuickDASH and PRWE (all p<0.05). The QuickDASH and PRWE demonstrate ceiling effects when used to assess the outcome of fractures of the distal radius. Patients achieving ceiling scores did not consider their wrist to be ‘normal’. Future patient-reported outcome assessment tools for fractures of the distal radius should aim to limit the ceiling effect, especially for individuals or groups that are more likely to achieve a ceiling score

The bone-patellar tendon-bone (BTB) autograft has a lower rate of graft failure but a higher rate of contralateral anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injury after primary ACL reconstruction. Subsequent contralateral injury may be a marker of success of the BTB graft, but it is unclear whether the type of graft influences the rate of return to sport. This study aimed to compare the rates of return to weekly sport and return to preinjury activity levels between the BTB and hamstring tendon autografts following primary ACL reconstruction. Prospective data on primary ACL reconstructions recorded in the New Zealand ACL Registry between April 2014-November 2019 were analyzed. The primary outcome was return to weekly sport, defined as a Marx activity score of 8, at 2-year follow-up. The secondary outcome was return to preinjury activity level, defined as a post-operative Marx activity score that was equal or greater to the patient's preinjury Marx score. Return to sport was compared between the BTB and hamstring tendon autografts via multivariate binary logistic regression with adjustment for patient demographics. 4259 patients were analyzed, of which 50.3% were playing weekly sport (n = 2144) and 28.4% had returned to their preinjury activity level (n = 1211) at 2-year follow-up. A higher rate of return to weekly sport was observed with the BTB autograft compared to the hamstring tendon autograft (58.7% versus 47.9%, adjusted odds ratio = 1.23, p = 0.009). Furthermore, the BTB autograft had a higher rate of return to preinjury activity levels (31.5% versus 27.5%, adjusted odds ratio = 1.21, p = 0.025). The BTB autograft is associated with a higher return to sport and may explain the higher rate of contralateral ACL injury following primary ACL reconstruction

Introduction. Debridement, antibiotics irrigation and implant retention (DAIR) is a common management strategy for hip and knee prosthetic joint infections (PJI). However, failure rates remain high, which has led to the development of predictive tools to help determine success. These tools include KLIC and CRIME80 for acute-postoperative (AP) and acute haematogenous (AH) PJI respectively. We investigated whether these tools were applicable to a Waikato cohort. Method. We performed a retrospective cohort study that evaluated patients who underwent DAIR between January 2010 and June 2020 at Waikato Hospital. Pre-operative KLIC and CRIME80 scores were calculated and compared to success of operation. Failure was defined as: (i) need for further surgery, (ii) need for suppressive antibiotics, (iii) death due to the infection. Logistic regression models were used to calculate the area under the curve (AUC). Results. 117 eligible patients underwent DAIR, 53 in the AP cohort and 64 in the AH cohort. Failure rate at 2 years post-op was 43% in the AP cohort and 59% in the AH cohort. In the AP cohort a KLIC score of <4 had a DAIR failure rate of 28.6%, while those who scored ³4 had a failure rate of 72.2% (p=0.002). In the AH cohort a CRIME80 score of <3 had a DAIR failure rate of 48% while those who scored ³3 had a 100% failure rate (p<0.001). Discussion. This study represents the first external validation of the KLIC and CRIME80 scores for predicting DAIR failure in an Australasian population. The results indicate that both KLIC and CRIME80 scoring tools are valuable aids for the clinician seeking to determine the optimal management strategy in patients with AP or AH PJI

Aim. Ankle fracture surgery comes with a risk of fracture-related infection (FRI). Identifying risk factors are important in preoperative planning, in management of patients, and for information to the individual patient about their risk of complications. In addition, modifiable factors can be addressed prior to surgery. The aim of the current paper was to identify risk factors for FRI in patients operated for ankle fractures. Method. A cohort of 1004 patients surgically treated for ankle fractures at Haukeland University hospital in the period of 2015–2019 was studied retrospectively. Patient charts and radiographs were assessed for the diagnosis of FRI. Binary logistic regression was used in analyses of risk factors. Regression coefficients were used to calculate the probability for FRI based on the patients’ age and presence of one or more risk factors. Results. FRI was confirmed in 87 (9%) of 1004 patients. Higher age at operation (p < 0.001), congestive heart failure (CHF), p = 0.006), peripheral artery disease (PAD, p = 0.001), and current smoking (p = .006) were identified as risk factors for FRI. PAD and CHF were the risk factors displaying the strongest association with FRI with an adjusted odds ratio of 4.2 (95% CI 1.8–10.1) and 4.7 (95% CI 1.6–14.1) respectively. Conclusions. The prevalence of FRI was 9% after surgical treatment of ankle fractures. The combination of risk factors found in this study demonstrate the need for a thorough, multidisciplinary, and careful approach when faced with an elderly or frail patient with an ankle fracture. The results of this study help the treating surgeons to inform their patients of the risk of FRI prior to ankle fracture surgery

Introduction. Open tibial fractures (OTF) rank first among lower limb fractures in sub-Saharan Africa and bone infection remains the main challenge. The aim of this study was to identify the factors associated with chronic bone infection after OTF in a limited-resource setting. Methods. Patients aged 18 years and older, who underwent OTF treatment in a tertiary care hospital during the period from December 2015 to December 2020 were included in this retrospective study. Patients were contacted via phone calls and invited for a final clinical and radiological evaluation. Patients who met diagnostic criteria of chronic osteomyelitis were identified. Logistic regression was used to determine the predictive factors of OTF related chronic osteomyelitis. Results. With a mean follow-up period of 29.5±16.6 months, 33 patients out of 105 (31.4%) presented with chronic osteomyelitis. We found that time to first debridement within 6 hours (OR=0.18, 95% CI: 0.05 – 0.75, p=0.018) and severity of OTF according to Gustilo-Anderson classification (OR=2.06, 95% CI:1.34 – 3.16, p=0.001) were the independent predictive factors of chronic bone infection. Neither age, gender, socio-economic level, polytrauma, HIV status, diabetes mellitus, time to definitive surgery, were associated with chronic osteomyelitis. Conclusion. The rate of chronic bone infections after OTF is still high in the sub-Saharan African context. In addition to the overall improvement in the management of open leg fractures in those settings, emphasis should be placed on very early initial debridement to reduce the burden of these infections. Keys words. open tibial fractures, chronic bone infection, predictive factors

Iliopsoas tendonitis occurs in up to 30% of patients after hip resurfacing arthroplasty (HRA) and is a common reason for revision. The primary purpose of this study was to validate our novel computational model for quantifying iliopsoas impingement in HRA patients using a case-controlled investigation. Secondary purpose was to compare these results with previously measured THA patients. We conducted a retrospective search in an experienced surgeon's database for HRA patients with iliopsoas tendonitis, confirmed via the active hip flexion test in supine, and control patients without iliopsoas tendonitis, resulting in two cohorts of 12 patients. The CT scans were segmented, landmarked, and used to simulate the iliopsoas impingement in supine and standing pelvic positions. Three discrete impingement values were output for each pelvic position, and the mean and maximum of these values were reported. Cup prominence was measured using a novel, nearest-neighbour algorithm. The mean cup prominence for the symptomatic cohort was 10.7mm and 5.1mm for the asymptomatic cohort (p << 0.01). The average standing mean impingement for the symptomatic cohort was 0.1mm and 0.0mm for the asymptomatic cohort (p << 0.01). The average standing maximum impingement for the symptomatic cohort was 0.2mm and 0.0mm for the asymptomatic cohort (p << 0.01). Impingement significantly predicted the probability of pain in logistic regression models and the simulation had a sensitivity of 92%, specificity of 91%, and an AUC ROC curve of 0.95. Using a case-controlled investigation, we demonstrated that our novel simulation could detect iliopsoas impingement and differentiate between the symptomatic and asymptomatic cohorts. Interestingly, the HRA patients demonstrated less impingement than the THA patients, despite greater cup prominence. In conclusion, this tool has the potential to be used preoperatively, to guide decisions about optimal cup placement, and postoperatively, to assist in the diagnosis of iliopsoas tendonitis

Fractures of the neck of femur are common in the older adult with significant morbidity and mortality rates. This patient cohort is associated with frailty and multiple complex medical and social needs requiring a multidisciplinary team to provide optimal care. The aim of this study was to assess the outcomes at 5 years following implementation of a collaborative service between the Orthopaedic and Geriatric departments of Southland Hospital in 2012. Retrospective data was collected for patients aged 65 years and older who were admitted with a fragility hip fracture. Data was collated for 2011 (pre-implementation) and 2017 (post-implementation). Demographics and ASA scores were recorded. We assessed 30-day and 1-year mortality, surgical data, length of stay and complications. There were 74 patient admissions in 2011 and 107 in 2017. Mean age at surgery was 84.2 years in 2011 and 82.6 years in 2017 (p>0.05). Between the 2011 and 2017 groups there has been a non-significant reduction in length of stay on the orthopaedic ward (9.8 days vs 7.5 days, p=0.138) but a significant reduction in length of stay on the rehabilitation ward (19.9 vs 9 days, p<0.001). There was a significant decrease in frequency of patients with a complication (71.6% vs 57%, p=0.045) and a marginal reduction in number of complications (p=0.057). Through logistic regression controlling for age, sex and ASA score, there was a reduction in the odds of having a complication by 12% between 2011 and 2017 (p<0.001). There was no difference in mortality between the groups. The orthogeriatric model of care at Southland Hospital appears to have reduced both the frequency of complications and length of stay on the rehabilitation ward 5 years after its implementation. This is the first study in New Zealand demonstrating medium-term post-implementation follow-up of what is currently a nationally accepted standard model of care

The bone-patellar tendon-bone (BTB) autograft is associated with difficulty kneeling following anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) reconstruction, however it is unclear whether it results in a more painful or symptomatic knee when compared to the hamstring tendon autograft. This study aimed to identify the rate of significant knee pain and difficulty kneeling following primary ACL reconstruction and clarify whether graft type influences the risk of these complications. Primary ACL reconstructions prospectively recorded in the New Zealand ACL Registry between April 2014 and November 2019 were analyzed. The Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) was analyzed to identify patients who reported significant knee pain, defined as a KOOS Pain subscale score of ≤72 points, and kneeling difficulty, defined as a patient who reported “severe” or “extreme” difficulty when they kneel. The rate of knee pain and kneeling difficulty was compared between graft types via univariate Chi-square test and multivariate binary logistic regression with adjustment for patient demographics. 4492 primary ACL reconstructions were analyzed. At 2-year follow-up, 9.3% of patients reported significant knee pain (420/4492) and 12.0% reported difficulty with kneeling (537/4492). Patients with a BTB autograft reported a higher rate of kneeling difficulty compared to patients with a hamstring tendon autograft (21.3% versus 9.4%, adjusted odds ratio = 3.12, p<0.001). There was no difference between graft types in the rate of significant knee pain (9.9% versus 9.2%, p = 0.49) or when comparing absolute values of the KOOS Pain (mean score for BTB = 88.7 versus 89.0, p = 0.37) and KOOS Symptoms subscales (mean score for BTB = 82.5 versus 82.1, p = 0.49). The BTB autograft is a risk factor for post-operative kneeling difficulty, but it does not result in a more painful or symptomatic knee when compared to the hamstring tendon autograft

We sought to evaluate the early post-operative active range-of-motion (AROM) between robotic-assisted total knee arthroplasty (raTKA) and conventional TKA (cTKA). A secondary data analysis on a global prospective cohort study was performed. A propensity score method was used to select a matched control of cTKA from the same database using 1:1 ratio, based on age, sex, BMI, and comorbidity index. This resulted in 216 raTKA and cTKA matched cases. Multivariable longitudinal regression was used to evaluate difference in ROM over time and values are reported as least squares means (95% confidence interval). The longitudinal model tested the treatment effect (raTKA vs cTKA), time effect, and their interaction with control on covariance of patients ‘s age, sex, BMI, comorbidity and pre-operative flexion. Logistic regression was used to analyze the active flexion level at one month (cut by 90°) and three months (cut by 110°). At one-month postoperative the raTKA cases had more AROM for flexion by an average of 5.54 degrees (p<0.001). There was no difference at three months (p=0.228). The raTKA group had a greater improvement from pre-operative values at both one-month, with an average 7.07° (3.6°, 10.5°, p<0.001) more improvement, and at three-months with an average improvement of 4° more (1.61°, 7.24°, p=0.0115). AROM for extension was lower overall in the raTKA group by an average of 0.44° (p=0.029). The raTKA patients had higher odds of achieving ≥90° of flexion at one-month (OR 2.15, 95% CI 1.16, 3.99). raTKA resulted in greater AROM flexion gains in the early postoperative period than cTKA. Additional research is needed to understand if these earlier gains in AROM are associated with improved patient satisfaction and continued improvements with time

Premature growth arrests are an infrequent, yet a significant complication of physeal fractures of the distal radius in children and adolescents. Through early diagnosis, it is possible to prevent clinical repercussions of the anatomical and biomechanical alterations of the wrist. Their true incidence has not been well established, and there exists no consensual systematic monitoring plan for minimising its impacts. The main objective was to evaluate the prevalence of growth arrests after a physeal distal radius fracture. The secondary objective was to identify risk factors in order to better guide clinicians for a systematic follow-up. All patients seen between 2014–2016 in a tertiary orthopaedic clinic were retrospectively reviewed. Inclusion criteria were (one) a physeal fracture of the distal radius (two) adequate clinical/radiological follow-up. Descriptive, Chi-square and binary logistic regression analyses were carried out using SPSS software. One hundred ninety patients (mean age: 12 ± 2.8 years) fulfilled the inclusion criteria. Forty percent (n=76) of the fractures were treated by closed reduction. Premature growth arrest was seen in 6.8% (n=13) and diagnosed at a mean of 10 months post trauma. The logistic regression showed that the initial translation percentage (>30%) (p 25) (p increase the risk of growth arrest. After adjusting for concomitant ipsilateral ulnar injuries, a positive association between physeal complications and fracture manipulation was detected (76.9%, p=0.03). A non-significant trend between premature growth arrest and associated ulnar injury was observed (p=0.054). No association was identified for trauma velocity, fracture type, gender and age, and growth complications. A prevalence of 6.8% of growth arrest was found after a physeal fracture of the distal radius. Fractures presenting with an initial coronal translation > 30% and/or angulation > 25 from normal, as well as those treated by manipulation, have been shown to be at risk for a premature growth arrest of the distal radius. This study highlights the importance of a systematic follow-up after a physeal fracture of the distal radius especially for patients with a more displaced fracture who had a closed reduction performed. An optimal follow-up period should be over 10 months to optimize the detection of growth arrest and treat it promptly, thereby minimizing negative clinical consequences

Abstract. Introduction. There is paucity of evidence in predicting outcomes following cervical decompression in patients in octogenerians with cervical myelopathy. Our aim is to analyse the predictive value of Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) on clinical outcomes in this group. Methods. All patients age >80 years who underwent cervical decompression+/−stabilisation between January 2006-December 2021 at University Hospitals of Derby & Burton were included. Logistic regression analysis was performed using JASP. Results. Total 72 patients (n=32 male, n=28 female). Mean age 83.44 ± 3.21 years. 67 patients underwent posterior decompression+ stabilisation & 5 patients had posterior decompression alone. Mean CCI was 5; graded moderate in 32 (44%, CCI=<4) and severe in 40 (55.5%, CCI>4). Mean age and preoperative Nurick grade was similar between moderate and severe groups. Postoperative Nurick grade improved equally in both groups by 0.67 and 0.68 respectively (p=0.403). Mean LOS 16±16.12 days. 5 complications in the moderate group (21.8%) and 8 complications in severe group (21.6%); wound infection (n=7), other infection (n=2), electrolyte derangement (n=2), AKI (n=1), blood transfusion (n=1) and early death (n=3) (p=0.752). 1 early postoperative death <30 days occurred in the moderate group (4.3%) whereas 2 occurred in the severe group (5.3%) (p=0.984). No patients with moderate CCI required nursing home discharge whereas 7.9% of severe patients required this. Conclusion. Both groups benefitted from neurological improvement postoperatively, low 1 year mortality. No difference in hospital stay, complication rate and early mortality between both groups. More patients with severe CCI require nursing care after discharge than those with moderate CCI

There is very limited literature describing the outcomes of management for proximal humerus fractures with more than 100% displacement of the head and shaft fragments as a separate entity. This study aimed to compare operative and non-operative management of the translated proximal humerus fracture. A prospective cohort study was performed including patients managed at a Level 1 trauma centre between January 2010 to December 2018. Patients with 2, 3 and 4-part fractures were included based on the degree of translation of the shaft fragment (≥100%), resulting in no cortical contact between the head and shaft fragments. Outcome measures were the Oxford Shoulder Score (OSS), EQ-5D-5L, and radiological outcomes. Complications recorded included further surgery, loss of position/fixation, and non-union/malunion. Linear and logistic regression models were used to compare management options. There were 108 patients with a proximal humerus fracture with ≥100% translation; 76 underwent operative management and 32 were managed non-operatively with sling immobilisation. The mean (SD) age in the operative group was 54.3 (±20.2) and in the non-operative group was 73.3 (±15.3) (p<0.001). There was no association between OSS and management options (mean 38.5(±9.5) operative vs mean 41.3 (±8.5) non-operative, p=0.48). Operative management was associated with improved health status outcomes; EQ-5D utility score adjusted mean difference 0.16 (95%CI 0.04-0.27, p=0.008); EQ-5D VAS adjusted mean difference 19.2 (95%CI 5.2-33.2, p=0.008). Operative management was further associated with a lower odds of non-union (adjusted OR 0.30, 95%CI 0.09-0.97, p=0.04), malunion (adjusted OR 0.14, 95%CI 0.04-0.51, p=0.003) and complications (adjusted OR 0.07, 95%CI 0.02-0.32, p=0.001). Translated proximal humerus fractures with ≥100% displacement demonstrate improved health status and radiological outcomes following surgical fixation. Patients with this injury should be considered for operative intervention

The optimum indications for debridement, antibiotics and implant retention (DAIR) are unclear. Previous studies have demonstrated higher success rate of DAIR within one year of the primary arthroplasty. This study aimed to compare the success rate of DAIR vs revision in “early” and “late” infections to provide guidance for clinical decision making. The Prosthetic Joint Infection in Australia and New Zealand Observational (PIANO) cohort prospectively recorded PJIs between July 2014 and December 2017 in 27 hospitals. This study included PIANO patients with first time PJIs occurring after primary TKA. Treatment success was defined as the patient being alive, free from further revision and without clinical or microbiological evidence of reinfection at two years follow-up. “Early” and “late” infections were analyzed separately. Univariate analysis compared demographic and disease specific factors between the DAIR and Revision groups. Multivariate binary logistic regression identified whether treatment strategy and other risk factors were associated with treatment success in “early” and “late” infections. In 117 “early” (<1 year) infections, treatment success rate was 56% in the DAIR group and 54% in the revision group (p=0.878). No independent risk factors were associated with treatment outcome on multivariate analysis. In 134 “late” (>1 year) infections, treatment success rate was 34.4% in the DAIR group and 60.5% in the revision group (OR 3.07 p=0.006). On multivariate analysis, revision was associated with 2.47x higher odds of success (p=0.041) when compared to DAIR, patients with at least one significant co-morbidity (OR 2.27, p=0.045) or with Staphylococcus aureus PJIs (OR 2.5, p=0.042) had higher odds of failure. In “late” PJIs occurring >1 year following primary TKA, treatment strategy with revision rather than DAIR was associated with greater success. Patients with significant comorbidities and Staphylococcus aureus PJIs were at higher risk of failure regardless of treatment strategy

It is undetermined which factors predict return to work following arthroscopic rotator cuff repair. We aimed to identify which factors predicted return to work at any level, and return to pre-injury levels of work 6 months post-arthroscopic rotator cuff repair. Multiple logistic regression analysis of prospectively collected demographic, pre-injury, preoperative, and intraoperative data from 1502 consecutive primary arthroscopic rotator cuff repairs, performed by a single surgeon, was performed to identify independent predictors of return to work, and return to pre-injury levels of work respectively, 6 months post-surgery. Six months post-rotator cuff repair, 76% of patients returned to work (RTW), and 40% returned to pre-injury levels of work (Full-RTW). RTW at 6 months was likely if patients were still working after their injuries, but prior to surgery (Wald statistic [W]=55, p<0.0001), were stronger in internal rotation preoperatively (W=8, p=0.004), had full-thickness tears (W=9, p=0.002), and were female (W=5, p=0.030). Patients who achieved Full-RTW were likely to have worked less strenuously pre-injury (W=173, p<0.0001), worked more strenuously post-injury but pre-surgery (W=22, p<0.0001), had greater behind-the-back lift-off strength preoperatively (W=8, p=0.004), and had less passive external rotation range of motion preoperatively (W=5, p=0.034). Patients who were still working post-injury, but pre-surgery were 1.6-times more likely to RTW than patients who were not (p<0.0001). Patients who nominated their pre-injury level of work as “light” were 11-times more likely to achieve Full-RTW than those who nominated “strenuous” (p<0.0001). Six months post-rotator cuff repair, a higher patient-rated post-injury, but pre-surgery level of work was the strongest predictor of RTW. A lower patient-rated pre-injury level of work was the strongest predictor of Full-RTW. Greater preoperative subscapularis strength independently predicted both RTW, and Full-RTW