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The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 94-B, Issue 7 | Pages 961 - 968
1 Jul 2012
Duckworth AD Buijze GA Moran M Gray A Court-Brown CM Ring D McQueen MM

A prospective study was performed to develop a clinical prediction rule that incorporated demographic and clinical factors predictive of a fracture of the scaphoid. Of 260 consecutive patients with a clinically suspected or radiologically confirmed scaphoid fracture, 223 returned for evaluation two weeks after injury and formed the basis of our analysis. Patients were evaluated within 72 hours of injury and at approximately two and six weeks after injury using clinical assessment and standard radiographs. Demographic data and the results of seven specific tests in the clinical examination were recorded. There were 116 (52%) men and their mean age was 33 years (13 to 95; . sd. 17.9). In 62 patients (28%) a scaphoid fracture was confirmed. A logistic regression model identified male gender (p = 0.002), sports injury (p = 0.004), anatomical snuff box pain on ulnar deviation of the wrist within 72 hours of injury (p < 0.001), and scaphoid tubercle tenderness at two weeks (p < 0.001) as independent predictors of fracture. All patients with no pain at the anatomical snuff box on ulnar deviation of the wrist within 72 hours of injury did not have a fracture (n = 72, 32%). With four independently significant factors positive, the risk of fracture was 91%. Our study has demonstrated that clinical prediction rules have a considerable influence on the probability of a suspected scaphoid fracture. This will help improve the use of supplementary investigations where the diagnosis remains in doubt


The Journal of Bone & Joint Surgery British Volume
Vol. 93-B, Issue 6 | Pages 713 - 719
1 Jun 2011
Duckworth AD Ring D McQueen MM

A suspected fracture of the scaphoid remains difficult to manage despite advances in knowledge and imaging methods. Immobilisation and restriction of activities in a young and active patient must be balanced against the risks of nonunion associated with an undiagnosed and undertreated fracture of the scaphoid. The assessment of diagnostic tests for a suspected fracture of the scaphoid must take into account two important factors. First, the prevalence of true fractures among suspected fractures is low, which greatly reduces the probability that a positive test will correspond with a true fracture, as false positives are nearly as common as true positives. This situation is accounted for by Bayesian statistics. Secondly, there is no agreed reference standard for a true fracture, which necessitates the need for an alternative method of calculating diagnostic performance characteristics, based upon a statistical method which identifies clinical factors tending to associate (latent classes) in patients with a high probability of fracture. The most successful diagnostic test to date is MRI, but in low-prevalence situations the positive predictive value of MRI is only 88%, and new data have documented the potential for false positive scans. The best strategy for improving the diagnosis of true fractures among suspected fractures of the scaphoid may well be to develop a clinical prediction rule incorporating a set of demographic and clinical factors which together increase the pre-test probability of a fracture of the scaphoid, in addition to developing increasingly sophisticated radiological tests


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 95-B, Issue SUPP_1 | Pages 34 - 34
1 Jan 2013
van der Sluis G Bimmel R Goldbohm R Garre FG Elings J Hoogeboom T van Meeteren N
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Objectives. The goal of this study was to describe and evaluate the implementation of a tailored care pathway as an alternative to a standard joint care protocol in the postoperative in-hospital rehabilitation after total knee replacement (TKR) on clinically relevant outcome parameters. Methods. We monitored an orthopaedic department regarding postoperative rehabilitation after TKR on several outcome parameters throughout a period of 32 months, whilst introducing a new care pathway after 17 months. Outcome parameters were monitored and comprised: Time to get functionally recovered (in days), length of stay (in days) and destination of discharge. Key-differences between the joint care protocol and the new tailored pathway were: 1. determination of individual short term rehabilitation goals on the basis of a preoperative clinical prediction rule and postoperative monitoring of functional recovery, 2. Enhancement of expertise of and collaboration between health care professionals and 3. implementation of fast track rehabilitation. We compared the patients operated after implementation of the tailored care pathway with those who were treated according to the joint care protocol. Regression analysis was used to estimate differences between the two groups of patients while correcting for baseline differences in risk profile between the groups. Results. Introduction of the tailored care pathway decreased the length of stay on average from 5.2 days to 4.2 days, (p< 0.01). In addition, there was a 7% non-statistically significant reduction in the number of patients who required inpatient rehabilitation after hospital discharge. Conclusion. Introduction of the tailored care pathway reduced the mean length of stay by one day, whilst patient safety and satisfaction remained unaltered


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 104-B, Issue 6 | Pages 709 - 714
1 Jun 2022
Stirling PHC Simpson CJ Ring D Duckworth AD McEachan JE

Aims

The aim of this study was to describe the introduction of a virtual pathway for the management of patients with a suspected fracture of the scaphoid, and to report patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) and satisfaction following treatment using this service.

Methods

All adult patients who presented with a clinically suspected scaphoid fracture that was not visible on radiographs at the time of presentation during a one-year period were eligible for inclusion in the pathway. Demographic details, findings on examination, and routine four-view radiographs at the time of presentation were collected. All radiographs were reviewed virtually by a single consultant hand surgeon, with patient-initiated follow-up on request. PROMs were assessed at a minimum of one year after presentation and included the abbreviated version of the Disabilities of the Arm, Shoulder and Hand Score (QuickDASH), the EuroQol five-dimension five-level health questionnaire (EQ-5D-5L), the Net Promoter Score (NPS), and return to work.


Bone & Joint 360
Vol. 9, Issue 5 | Pages 37 - 41
1 Oct 2020


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 102-B, Issue 7 | Pages 904 - 911
1 Jul 2020
Sigmund IK Dudareva M Watts D Morgenstern M Athanasou NA McNally MA

Aims

The aim of this study was to evaluate the diagnostic value of preoperative serum CRP, white blood cell count (WBC), percentage of neutrophils (%N), and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) when using the fracture-related infection (FRI) consensus definition.

Methods

A cohort of 106 patients having surgery for suspected septic nonunion after failed fracture fixation were studied. Blood samples were collected preoperatively, and the concentration of serum CRP, WBC, and differential cell count were analyzed. The areas under the curve (AUCs) of diagnostic tests were compared using the z-test. Regression trees were constructed and internally cross-validated to derive a simple diagnostic decision tree.