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Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 106-B, Issue SUPP_19 | Pages 37 - 37
22 Nov 2024
Vitiello R Smimmo A Taccari F Matteini E Micheli G Fantoni M Maccauro G
Full Access

Aim

Periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) is a devastating complication that develops after total joint arthroplasty (TJA) whose incidence is expected to increase over the years. Traditionally, surgical treatment of PJI has been based on algorithms, where early infections are preferably treated with debridement, antibiotics, and implant retention (DAIR), while late infections with two-stage revision surgery. Two-stage revision is considered the “gold standard” for treatment of chronic PJI. In this observational retrospective study, we investigated the potential role of inflammatory blood markers (neutrophil-to- lymphocyte ratio (NLR), monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), systemic inflammatory index (SII)], systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI), and aggregate index of systemic inflammation (AISI)) as prognostic factors in two-stage exchange arthroplasty for PJI.

Method

A single-center retrospective analysis was conducted, collecting clinical data and laboratory parameters from patients submitted to prosthetic explantation for chronic PJI. Laboratory parameters (PCR, NLR, MLR, PLR, SIRI, SII and AISI) were evaluated at the explantation time, at 4, 6, 8 weeks after surgery and at reimplantation time. Correlation between laboratory parameters and surgery success was evaluated, defined as infection absence/resolution at the last follow up


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 106-B, Issue SUPP_18 | Pages 76 - 76
14 Nov 2024
Yasuda T Ota S Mitsuzawa S Yamashita S Tsukamoto Y Takeuchi H Onishi E
Full Access

Introduction

A recent study to identify clinically meaningful benchmarks for gait improvement after total hip replacement (THA) has shown that the minimum clinically important improvement (MCII) in gait speed after THA is 0.32 m/sec. Currently, it remains to be investigated what preoperative factors link to suboptimal recovery of gait function after THA. This study aimed to identify preoperative lower-limb muscle predictors for gait speed improvement after THA for hip osteoarthritis.

Method

This study enrolled 58 patients who underwent unilateral primary THA. Gait speed improvement was evaluated as the subtraction of preoperative speed from postoperative speed at 6 months after THA. Preoperative muscle composition of the glutei medius and minimus (Gmed+min) and the gluteus maximus (Gmax) was evaluated on a single axial computed tomography slice at the bottom end of the sacroiliac joint. Cross-sectional area ratio of individual composition to the total muscle was calculated.


Bone & Joint Open
Vol. 5, Issue 10 | Pages 879 - 885
14 Oct 2024
Moore J van de Graaf VA Wood JA Humburg P Colyn W Bellemans J Chen DB MacDessi SJ

Aims

This study examined windswept deformity (WSD) of the knee, comparing prevalence and contributing factors in healthy and osteoarthritic (OA) cohorts.

Methods

A case-control radiological study was undertaken comparing 500 healthy knees (250 adults) with a consecutive sample of 710 OA knees (355 adults) undergoing bilateral total knee arthroplasty. The mechanical hip-knee-ankle angle (mHKA), medial proximal tibial angle (MPTA), and lateral distal femoral angle (LDFA) were determined for each knee, and the arithmetic hip-knee-ankle angle (aHKA), joint line obliquity, and Coronal Plane Alignment of the Knee (CPAK) types were calculated. WSD was defined as a varus mHKA of < -2° in one limb and a valgus mHKA of > 2° in the contralateral limb. The primary outcome was the proportional difference in WSD prevalence between healthy and OA groups. Secondary outcomes were the proportional difference in WSD prevalence between constitutional varus and valgus CPAK types, and to explore associations between predefined variables and WSD within the OA group.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 106-B, Issue SUPP_17 | Pages 1 - 1
11 Oct 2024
Gardner WT Davies P Campbell D Reidy M
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Lateral-entry wiring (LEW) for displaced supracondylar humeral fractures (SHFs) has been popularised internationally. BOAST guidance suggests either LEW or crossed wires; the latter has reported lower risk of loss of fracture reduction –we explore technical reasons why.

We reviewed 8 years of displaced SHFs in two regional centres. Injuries were grouped using the Gartland Classification, with posterolateral or posteromedial displacement assessment for Gartland 3 injuries. We identified any loss of fracture reduction, and reviewed intra-operative imaging to identify learning points that may contribute to early rotational displacement (ERD).

345 SHFs were included, between 2012 and 2020. Gartland 2 (n=117) injuries had a 3.42% risk. ERD. Gartland 3 crossed wirings (n=114) had a 6.14% risk of ERD, with those moving all being posterolaterally displaced. Gartland 3, posterolaterally displaced LEW (n=56) had a 35.7% risk of ERD. Gartland 3, posteromedially displaced LEW (n=58) had a 22.4% risk of ERD. All injuries with ERD except 3 had identifiable learning points, the commonest being non-divergence of wires, or wires not passing through both fracture fragments.

LEW requires divergent spread and bicolumnar fixation. Achieving a solid construct through this method appears more challenging than crossed wiring, with rates of ERD 3–5× higher. Low-volume surgeons should adhere to BOAST guidelines and choose a wiring construct that works best in their hands. They can also be reassured that should a loss of position occur, the risk of requirement for revision surgery is extremely low in our study (0.3%), and it is unlikely to affect long term outcomes.


Bone & Joint 360
Vol. 13, Issue 5 | Pages 24 - 26
1 Oct 2024

The October 2024 Knee Roundup360 looks at: Managing the unexpected: treatment of intraoperative medial collateral ligament injuries; Identifying subgroups of patients that may benefit from robotic arm-assisted total knee arthroplasty: secondary analysis of data from a randomized controlled trial; Cost-effectiveness of enoxaparin versus aspirin in the prevention of venous thromboembolism after total hip or knee arthroplasty: an analysis from the CRISTAL cluster-randomized trial; Cartilage regeneration and long-term survival in medial knee osteoarthritis patients treated with high tibial osteotomy and osteochondral autologous transfer system; Treatment of chronic and complex meniscal tears with arthroscopic meniscus repair augmented with collagen matrix wrapping: failure rate and functional outcomes; Long-term outcomes of multiligament knee injuries in American football players.


Bone & Joint Open
Vol. 5, Issue 8 | Pages 671 - 680
14 Aug 2024
Fontalis A Zhao B Putzeys P Mancino F Zhang S Vanspauwen T Glod F Plastow R Mazomenos E Haddad FS

Aims

Precise implant positioning, tailored to individual spinopelvic biomechanics and phenotype, is paramount for stability in total hip arthroplasty (THA). Despite a few studies on instability prediction, there is a notable gap in research utilizing artificial intelligence (AI). The objective of our pilot study was to evaluate the feasibility of developing an AI algorithm tailored to individual spinopelvic mechanics and patient phenotype for predicting impingement.

Methods

This international, multicentre prospective cohort study across two centres encompassed 157 adults undergoing primary robotic arm-assisted THA. Impingement during specific flexion and extension stances was identified using the virtual range of motion (ROM) tool of the robotic software. The primary AI model, the Light Gradient-Boosting Machine (LGBM), used tabular data to predict impingement presence, direction (flexion or extension), and type. A secondary model integrating tabular data with plain anteroposterior pelvis radiographs was evaluated to assess for any potential enhancement in prediction accuracy.


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 106-B, Issue 8 | Pages 775 - 782
1 Aug 2024
Wagner M Schaller L Endstrasser F Vavron P Braito M Schmaranzer E Schmaranzer F Brunner A

Aims

Hip arthroscopy has gained prominence as a primary surgical intervention for symptomatic femoroacetabular impingement (FAI). This study aimed to identify radiological features, and their combinations, that predict the outcome of hip arthroscopy for FAI.

Methods

A prognostic cross-sectional cohort study was conducted involving patients from a single centre who underwent hip arthroscopy between January 2013 and April 2021. Radiological metrics measured on conventional radiographs and magnetic resonance arthrography were systematically assessed. The study analyzed the relationship between these metrics and complication rates, revision rates, and patient-reported outcomes.


Bone & Joint Open
Vol. 5, Issue 7 | Pages 543 - 549
3 Jul 2024
Davies AR Sabharwal S Reilly P Sankey RA Griffiths D Archer S

Aims

Shoulder arthroplasty is effective in the management of end-stage glenohumeral joint arthritis. However, it is major surgery and patients must balance multiple factors when considering the procedure. An understanding of patients’ decision-making processes may facilitate greater support of those considering shoulder arthroplasty and inform the outcomes of future research.

Methods

Participants were recruited from waiting lists of three consultant upper limb surgeons across two NHS hospitals. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with 12 participants who were awaiting elective shoulder arthroplasty. Transcribed interviews were analyzed using a grounded theory approach. Systematic coding was performed; initial codes were categorized and further developed into summary narratives through a process of discussion and refinement. Data collection and analyses continued until thematic saturation was reached.


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 106-B, Issue 7 | Pages 735 - 743
1 Jul 2024
Gelfer Y Cavanagh SE Bridgens A Ashby E Bouchard M Leo DG Eastwood DM

Aims. There is a lack of high-quality research investigating outcomes of Ponseti-treated idiopathic clubfeet and correlation with relapse. This study assessed clinical and quality of life (QoL) outcomes using a standardized core outcome set (COS), comparing children with and without relapse. Methods. A total of 11 international centres participated in this institutional review board-approved observational study. Data including demographics, information regarding presentation, treatment, and details of subsequent relapse and management were collected between 1 June 2022 and 30 June 2023 from consecutive clinic patients who had a minimum five-year follow-up. The clubfoot COS incorporating 31 parameters was used. A regression model assessed relationships between baseline variables and outcomes (clinical/QoL). Results. Overall, 293 patients (432 feet) with a median age of 89 months (interquartile range 72 to 113) were included. The relapse rate was 37%, with repeated relapse in 14%. Treatment considered a standard part of the Ponseti journey (recasting, repeat tenotomy, and tibialis anterior tendon transfer) was performed in 35% of cases, with soft-tissue release and osteotomies in 5% and 2% of cases, respectively. Predictors of relapse included duration of follow-up, higher initial Pirani score, and poor Evertor muscle activity. Relapse was associated with poorer outcomes. Conclusion. This is the first multicentre study using a standardized COS following clubfoot treatment. It distinguishes patients with and without relapse in terms of clinical outcomes and QoL, with poorer outcomes in the relapse group. This tool allows comparison of treatment methods and outcomes, facilitates information sharing, and sets family expectations. Predictors of relapse encourage us to create appropriate treatment pathways to reduce relapse and improve outcome. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2024;106-B(7):735–743


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 106-B, Issue 7 | Pages 713 - 719
1 Jul 2024
Patel MS Shah S Elkazaz MK Shafafy M Grevitt MP

Aims

Historically, patients undergoing surgery for adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) have been nursed postoperatively in a critical care (CC) setting because of the challenges posed by prone positioning, extensive exposures, prolonged operating times, significant blood loss, major intraoperative fluid shifts, cardiopulmonary complications, and difficulty in postoperative pain management. The primary aim of this paper was to determine whether a scoring system, which uses Cobb angle, forced vital capacity (FVC), forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1), and number of levels to be fused, is a valid method of predicting the need for postoperative critical care in AIS patients who are to undergo scoliosis correction with posterior spinal fusion (PSF).

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed all AIS patients who had undergone PSF between January 2018 and January 2020 in a specialist tertiary spinal referral centre. All patients were assessed preoperatively in an anaesthetic clinic. Postoperative care was defined as ward-based (WB) or critical care (CC), based on the preoperative FEV1, FVC, major curve Cobb angle, and the planned number of instrumented levels.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 106-B, Issue SUPP_11 | Pages 17 - 17
4 Jun 2024
Najefi AA Chan O Zaidi R Hester T Kavarthapu V
Full Access

Introduction

Surgical reconstruction of deformed Charcot feet carries high risk of non-union, metalwork failure and deformity recurrence. The primary aim of this study was to identify the factors contributing to these complications following hindfoot Charcot reconstructions.

Methods

We retrospectively analysed patients who underwent hindfoot Charcot reconstruction with an intramedullary nail between 2007 and 2019 in our unit. Patient demographics, co-morbidities, weightbearing status and post-operative complications were noted. Metalwork breakage, non-union, deformity recurrence, concurrent midfoot reconstruction and the measurements related to intramedullary nail were also recorded.


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 106-B, Issue 4 | Pages 412 - 418
1 Apr 2024
Alqarni AG Nightingale J Norrish A Gladman JRF Ollivere B

Aims

Frailty greatly increases the risk of adverse outcome of trauma in older people. Frailty detection tools appear to be unsuitable for use in traumatically injured older patients. We therefore aimed to develop a method for detecting frailty in older people sustaining trauma using routinely collected clinical data.

Methods

We analyzed prospectively collected registry data from 2,108 patients aged ≥ 65 years who were admitted to a single major trauma centre over five years (1 October 2015 to 31 July 2020). We divided the sample equally into two, creating derivation and validation samples. In the derivation sample, we performed univariate analyses followed by multivariate regression, starting with 27 clinical variables in the registry to predict Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS; range 1 to 9) scores. Bland-Altman analyses were performed in the validation cohort to evaluate any biases between the Nottingham Trauma Frailty Index (NTFI) and the CFS.


Bone & Joint Open
Vol. 5, Issue 1 | Pages 9 - 19
16 Jan 2024
Dijkstra H van de Kuit A de Groot TM Canta O Groot OQ Oosterhoff JH Doornberg JN

Aims

Machine-learning (ML) prediction models in orthopaedic trauma hold great promise in assisting clinicians in various tasks, such as personalized risk stratification. However, an overview of current applications and critical appraisal to peer-reviewed guidelines is lacking. The objectives of this study are to 1) provide an overview of current ML prediction models in orthopaedic trauma; 2) evaluate the completeness of reporting following the Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) statement; and 3) assess the risk of bias following the Prediction model Risk Of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST) tool.

Methods

A systematic search screening 3,252 studies identified 45 ML-based prediction models in orthopaedic trauma up to January 2023. The TRIPOD statement assessed transparent reporting and the PROBAST tool the risk of bias.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_15 | Pages 77 - 77
7 Nov 2023
Dey R Nortje M du Toit F Grobler G Dower B
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Hip abductor tears(AT) have long been under-recognized, under-reported and under-treated. There is a paucity of data on the prevalence, morphology and associated factors. Patients with “rotator cuff tears of the hip” that are recognized and repaired during total hip arthroplasty(THA) report comparable outcomes to patients with intact abductor tendons at THA.

The study was a retrospective review of 997 primary THA done by a single surgeon from 2012–2022. Incidental findings of AT identified during the anterolateral approach to the hip were documented with patient name, gender, age and diagnosis. The extent and size of the tears of the Gluteus medius and Minimus were recorded. Xrays and MRI's were collected for the 140 patients who had AT and matched 1:1 with respect to age and gender against 140 patients that had documented good muscle quality and integrity. Radiographic measurements (Neck shaft angle, inter-teardrop distance, Pelvis width, trochanteric width and irregularities, bodyweight moment arm and abductor moment arm) were compared between the 2 groups in an effort to determine if any radiographic feature would predict AT.

The prevalence of AT were 14%. Females had statistically more tears than males(18vs10%), while patients over the age of 70y had statistically more tears overall(19,7vs10,4%), but also more Gluteus Medius tears specifically(13,9vs5,3%). Radiographic measurements did not statistically differ between the tear and control group, except for the presence of trochanteric irregularities. MRI's showed that 50% of AT were missed and subsequently identified during surgery.

Abductor tears are still underrecognized and undertreated during THA which can results in inferior outcomes. The surgeon should have an high index of suspicion in elderly females with trochanteric irregularities and although an MRI for every patient won't be feasible, one should always be prepared and equipped to repair the abductor tendons during THA.


Bone & Joint Open
Vol. 4, Issue 10 | Pages 791 - 800
19 Oct 2023
Fontalis A Raj RD Haddad IC Donovan C Plastow R Oussedik S Gabr A Haddad FS

Aims

In-hospital length of stay (LOS) and discharge dispositions following arthroplasty could act as surrogate measures for improvement in patient pathways, and have major cost saving implications for healthcare providers. With the ever-growing adoption of robotic technology in arthroplasty, it is imperative to evaluate its impact on LOS. The objectives of this study were to compare LOS and discharge dispositions following robotic arm-assisted total knee arthroplasty (RO TKA) and unicompartmental arthroplasty (RO UKA) versus conventional technique (CO TKA and UKA).

Methods

This large-scale, single-institution study included patients of any age undergoing primary TKA (n = 1,375) or UKA (n = 337) for any cause between May 2019 and January 2023. Data extracted included patient demographics, LOS, need for post anaesthesia care unit (PACU) admission, anaesthesia type, readmission within 30 days, and discharge dispositions. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were also employed to identify factors and patient characteristics related to delayed discharge.


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 105-B, Issue 9 | Pages 1020 - 1029
1 Sep 2023
Trouwborst NM ten Duis K Banierink H Doornberg JN van Helden SH Hermans E van Lieshout EMM Nijveldt R Tromp T Stirler VMA Verhofstad MHJ de Vries JPPM Wijffels MME Reininga IHF IJpma FFA

Aims. The aim of this study was to investigate the association between fracture displacement and survivorship of the native hip joint without conversion to a total hip arthroplasty (THA), and to determine predictors for conversion to THA in patients treated nonoperatively for acetabular fractures. Methods. A multicentre cross-sectional study was performed in 170 patients who were treated nonoperatively for an acetabular fracture in three level 1 trauma centres. Using the post-injury diagnostic CT scan, the maximum gap and step-off values in the weightbearing dome were digitally measured by two trauma surgeons. Native hip survival was reported using Kaplan-Meier curves. Predictors for conversion to THA were determined using Cox regression analysis. Results. Of 170 patients, 22 (13%) subsequently received a THA. Native hip survival in patients with a step-off ≤ 2 mm, > 2 to 4 mm, or > 4 mm differed at five-year follow-up (respectively: 94% vs 70% vs 74%). Native hip survival in patients with a gap ≤ 2 mm, > 2 to 4 mm, or > 4 mm differed at five-year follow-up (respectively: 100% vs 84% vs 78%). Step-off displacement > 2 mm (> 2 to 4 mm hazard ratio (HR) 4.9, > 4 mm HR 5.6) and age > 60 years (HR 2.9) were independent predictors for conversion to THA at follow-up. Conclusion. Patients with minimally displaced acetabular fractures who opt for nonoperative fracture treatment may be informed that fracture displacement (e.g. gap and step-off) up to 2 mm, as measured on CT images, results in limited risk on conversion to THA. Step-off ≥ 2 mm and age > 60 years are predictors for conversion to THA and can be helpful in the shared decision-making process. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2023;105-B(9):1020–1029


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_12 | Pages 58 - 58
23 Jun 2023
Fontalis A The CS Plastow R Mancino F Haddad FS
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In-hospital length of stay (LOS) and discharge disposition following arthroplasty could act as surrogate measures for improvement in patient pathways, and have major cost saving implications for healthcare providers. With the ever-growing adoption of robotic technology in arthroplasty, we wished to evaluate its impact on LOS. The objectives of this study were to compare LOS and discharge disposition following robotic-arm assisted (RO THA) versus conventional technique Total Hip Arthroplasty (CO THA).

This large-scale, single institution study included patients of any age undergoing primary THA (N = 1,732) for any cause between May 2019 and January 2023. Data extracted included patient demographics, LOS, need for Post Anaesthesia Care Unit (PACU) admission, anaesthesia type, readmission within 30 days and discharge dispositions. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were also employed to identify factors and patient characteristics related to delayed discharge.

The median LOS in the RO THA group was 54 hours (34, 78) versus 60 (51, 100) in the CO THA group, p<0.001. Discharge disposition was comparable between the two groups. In the multivariate model, age, need for PACU admission, ASA score > 2, female gender, general anaesthesia and utilisation of the conventional technique were significantly associated with LOS > 2 days.

Our study showed that robotic-arm assistance was associated with a shorter LOS in patients undergoing primary THA and no difference in discharge destination. Our results suggest that robotic-arm assistance could be advantageous in partly addressing the upsurge of hip arthroplasty procedures and the concomitant health care burden; however, this needs to be corroborated by long-term cost effectiveness analyses and data from randomised controlled studies.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_12 | Pages 63 - 63
23 Jun 2023
Czubak J Kołodziejczyk K Czwojdziński A Czubak-Wrzosek M
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The aim of the study was to evaluate radiological and clinical outcomes of surgical treatment of developmental dysplasia of the hip (DDH) with Periacetabular Osteotomy (PAO) and to determine the values of radiological parameters allowing us to obtain an optimal clinical result.

Radiological evaluation included a standardized AP digital radiograph of the hip joints. Centre edge angle (CEA), medialization, distalization, femoral head coverage (FHC) and ilioischial angle were measured. Clinical evaluation based on HHS, WOMAC, Merle d'Aubigne-Postel scales and Hip Lag Sign. Radiological and clinical evaluation was performed preoperatively and approximately 12 months after the surgery.

Statistically significant (p<0.05) differences in radiological measurements and all clinical scales have been observed pre- and postoperatively for all of the parameters. The results of PAO presented decreased medialization by 3.4mm (range: 3 to 3.7), distalization by 3.5mm (range: 3.2 to 3.8) and the ilioischial angle by 2.7° (range: 2.2 to 3.7). There was also an improvement in the femoral head bone coverage: CEA increased by 16.3° (range: 12.1˚ to 20.5˚) and FHC by 15.2% (range: 10.8 to 19.8). Clinically we observed an increase in HHS by 22 points (range: 15.8 to 28.2) and M. Postel d'Aubigne by 3.5 points (range: 2.0 to 4.4) and a decrease in WOMAC by 24% (range: 22.6 to 25.8). HLS improvement of gluteal muscles’ efficiency has been observed in 67% of patients postoperatively.

This study revealed that the qualification of patients with DDH for an elective PAO is more justified due to the predicted optimal clinical outcomes based on three parameters: CEA <25 degrees, FHC <75%, and ilioischial angle >85.9 degrees. Accordingly, to achieve better clinical results for all scales, it is necessary to increase the average CEA value by 11˚, the average FHC by 11%, and reduce the average ilioischial angle by 3˚.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_11 | Pages 26 - 26
7 Jun 2023
Hoskins Z Kumar G Gangadharan R
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Periprosthetic femoral fractures are increasingly seen in recent years, adding considerable burden to the National Health Service. These require complex revision or fixation and prolonged post-operative care, with significant morbidity with associated costs. The purpose of this study was to assess whether the size of femoral cement mantle is associated with periprosthetic femoral fractures (PPF).

This retrospective study was carried out on a cohort of 49 patients (Fracture Group - FG) who previously had a revision procedure following a proximal PPF between 2010 and 2021. Inclusion criteria – all primary cemented total hip replacements (THR). Exclusion criteria – complex primary THR, any implant malposition that required early revision surgery or any pre-fracture stem loosening. The antero-posterior (AP) radiographs from this cohort of patients were assessed and compared to an age, sex, time since THR-matched control group of 49 patients without PPF (Control Group - CG). Distal cement mantle area (DCMA) was calculated on an AP radiograph of hip; the position of the femoral stem tip prior to fracture was also recorded: valgus, varus or central. Limitations: AP radiographs only. Statistical analyses were performed using Microsoft® Excel.

Chi-square test demonstrated statistically significant difference in DCMA between FG and CG. DCMA of 700 to 900 mm² appeared to be protective when compared to DCMA of 0 to 300 mm². Also, a valgus position observed in 23% in FG Vs 4 % in CG increased the risk, with a smaller area of DCMA.

This study demonstrates and recommends that a size of 700 – 900 mm² of the DCMA is protective against periprosthetic fractures, which are further influenced by the positioning of the distal stem tip. This could be due to the gradual decrease in the stiffness gradient from proximal to distal around the stem tip than steep changes, thereby decreasing possibility of a stress riser just distal to the cement mantle or restrictor. Further biomechanical research specific to this finding may be helpful to validate the observation, progressing to suggest a safe standardised surgical technique.


Total hip arthroplasty has been constantly evolving with technological improvements to achieve the best survival rates. Although the new implants are under closer surveillance through processes such as Beyond Compliance, orthopaedic surgeons generally tend to look out for the latest implants with good short-term results and hope for better long-term results for these. We questioned whether such an assumption or bias is valid.

We analysed the data of Kaplan-Meier estimates of cumulative revisions of primary hip replacement by fixation, stem/cup brand and bearing combinations from the NJR 19th Annual Report published in September 2022. We performed a univariate linear regression analysis to predict the 10- and 15-year revision rates for these different hip implant combinations from the 3- and 5-year revision rates.

Thirty-seven implant combinations had their 15-year revision rates reported and 67 had the 10-year revision rates. The correlation co-efficients were 0.43 and 0.58 for the 3-year and 5-year revision rates against 15-year revision rates. Only 17% of the variance in 15-year revision rates could be predicted by a linear regression model from the 3-year revision rate and 32% from the 5-year revision rate. Corresponding values for the 10-year revision rates were 46% and 67%.

95% prediction intervals for the 15-year revision rate were +/− 3.1% from the 3-year revision rate and +/− 2.8% from the 5-year revision rate. Corresponding values for the 10-year revision rates were +/− 1.3% and +/− 1%.

19 of 37 implant combinations showed 15-year revision rate of more than 4%. Average 3-year and 5-year revision rates for this cohort was 1.0% and 1.42% compared to 1.4% and 1.9% for the rest and the difference was statistically significant.

Although average early revision rates showed small but significant difference between the groups with lower and higher 15-year revision rates, the prediction intervals for 15-year revision rates for individual hips based on their 3-year and 5-year revision rates are very wide. Three- and 5-year revision rates for primary total hip replacements are poor predictors of 15-year revision rates.