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Bone & Joint Open
Vol. 5, Issue 7 | Pages 581 - 591
12 Jul 2024
Wang W Xiong Z Huang D Li Y Huang Y Guo Y Andreacchio A Canavese F Chen S

Aims

To investigate the risk factors for unsuccessful radial head reduction (RHR) in children with chronic Monteggia fractures (CMFs) treated surgically.

Methods

A total of 209 children (mean age 6.84 years (SD 2.87)), who underwent surgical treatment for CMFs between March 2015 and March 2023 at six institutions, were retrospectively reviewed. Assessed risk factors included age, sex, laterality, dislocation direction and distance, preoperative proximal radial metaphysis width, time from injury to surgery, reduction method, annular ligament reconstruction, radiocapitellar joint fixation, ulnar osteotomy, site of ulnar osteotomy, preoperative and postoperative ulnar angulation, ulnar fixation method, progressive ulnar distraction, and postoperative cast immobilization. Independent-samples t-test, chi-squared test, and logistic regression analysis were used to identify the risk factors associated with unsuccessful RHR.


Bone & Joint Open
Vol. 5, Issue 4 | Pages 335 - 342
19 Apr 2024
Athavale SA Kotgirwar S Lalwani R

Aims

The Chopart joint complex is a joint between the midfoot and hindfoot. The static and dynamic support system of the joint is critical for maintaining the medial longitudinal arch of the foot. Any dysfunction leads to progressive collapsing flatfoot deformity (PCFD). Often, the tibialis posterior is the primary cause; however, contrary views have also been expressed. The present investigation intends to explore the comprehensive anatomy of the support system of the Chopart joint complex to gain insight into the cause of PCFD.

Methods

The study was conducted on 40 adult embalmed cadaveric lower limbs. Chopart joint complexes were dissected, and the structures supporting the joint inferiorly were observed and noted.


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 106-B, Issue 3 | Pages 286 - 292
1 Mar 2024
Tang S Cheung JPY Cheung PWH

Aims

To systematically evaluate whether bracing can effectively achieve curve regression in patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS), and to identify any predictors of curve regression after bracing.

Methods

Two independent reviewers performed a comprehensive literature search in PubMed, Ovid, Web of Science, Scopus, and Cochrane Library to obtain all published information about the effectiveness of bracing in achieving curve regression in AIS patients. Search terms included “brace treatment” or “bracing,” “idiopathic scoliosis,” and “curve regression” or “curve reduction.” Inclusion criteria were studies recruiting patients with AIS undergoing brace treatment and one of the study outcomes must be curve regression or reduction, defined as > 5° reduction in coronal Cobb angle of a major curve upon bracing completion. Exclusion criteria were studies including non-AIS patients, studies not reporting p-value or confidence interval, animal studies, case reports, case series, and systematic reviews. The GRADE approach to assessing quality of evidence was used to evaluate each publication.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 106-B, Issue SUPP_1 | Pages 65 - 65
2 Jan 2024
Callens S Burdis R Cihova M Kim J Lau Q Stevens MM
Full Access

Cells typically respond to a variety of geometrical cues in their environment, ranging from nanoscale surface topography to mesoscale surface curvature. The ability to control cellular organisation and fate by engineering the shape of the extracellular milieu offers exciting opportunities within tissue engineering. Despite great progress, however, many questions regarding geometry-driven tissue growth remain unanswered. Here, we combine mathematical surface design, high-resolution microfabrication, in vitro cell culture, and image-based characterization to study spatiotemporal cell patterning and bone tissue formation in geometrically complex environments. Using concepts from differential geometry, we rationally designed a library of complex mesostructured substrates (10. 1. -10. 3. µm). These substrates were accurately fabricated using a combination of two-photon polymerisation and replica moulding, followed by surface functionalisation. Subsequently, different cell types (preosteoblasts, fibroblasts, mesenchymal stromal cells) were cultured on the substrates for varying times and under varying osteogenic conditions. Using imaging-based methods, such as fluorescent confocal microscopy and second harmonic generation imaging, as well as quantitative image processing, we were able to study early-stage spatiotemporal cell patterning and late-stage extracellular matrix organisation. Our results demonstrate clear geometry-dependent cell patterning, with cells generally avoiding convex regions in favour of concave domains. Moreover, the formation of multicellular bridges and collective curvature-dependent cell orientation could be observed. At longer time points, we found clear and robust geometry-driven orientation of the collagenous extracellular matrix, which became apparent with second harmonic generation imaging after ∼2 weeks of culture. Our results highlight a key role for geometry as a cue to guide spatiotemporal cell and tissue organisation, which is relevant for scaffold design in tissue engineering applications. Our ongoing work aims at understanding the underlying principles of geometry-driven tissue growth, with a focus on the interactions between substrate geometry and mechanical forces


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_15 | Pages 21 - 21
7 Nov 2023
Molepo M Hohmann E Oduoye S Myburgh J van Zyl R Keough N
Full Access

This study aimed to describe the morphology of the coracoid process and determine the frequency of commonly observed patterns. The second purpose was to determine the location of inferior tunnel exit with superior based tunnel drilling and the superior tunnel exit with inferior based tunnel drilling. A sample of 100 dry scapulae for the morphology aspect and 52 cadaveric embalmed shoulders for tunnel drilling were used. The coracoid process was described qualitatively and categorized into 6 different shapes. A transcoracoid tunnel was drilled at the centre of the base. Twenty-six shoulders were used for the superior-inferior tunnel drilling approach and 26 for the inferior-superior tunnel drilling approach. The distances to the margins of the coracoid process, from both the entry and exit points of the tunnel, were measured. Eight coracoid processes were of convex shape, 31 of hooked shape, 18 of irregular shape, 18 of narrow shape, 25 of straight shape, and 13 of wide shape. The mean difference for the distances between superior entry and inferior exit from the apex was Powered by Editorial Manager® and ProduXion Manager® from Aries Systems Corporation 3.65+3.51mm (p=0.002); 1.57+2.27mm for the lateral border (p=0.40) and 5.53+3.45mm for the medial border (p=0.001). The mean difference for the distances between inferior entry and superior exit from the apex was 16.95+3.11mm (p=0.0001); 6.51+3.2mm for the lateral border (p=0.40) and 1.03+2.32 mm for the medial border (p=0.045). The most common coracoid process shape observed was a hooked pattern. Both superior to inferior and inferior to superior tunnel drilling directed the tunnel from a more anterior and medial entry to a posterior-lateral exit. Superior to inferior drilling resulted in a more posteriorly angled tunnel. With inferior to superior tunnel drilling cortical breaks were observed at the inferior and medial margin of the tunnel


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 105-B, Issue 11 | Pages 1226 - 1232
1 Nov 2023
Prijs J Rawat J ten Duis K IJpma FFA Doornberg JN Jadav B Jaarsma RL

Aims

Triplane ankle fractures are complex injuries typically occurring in children aged between 12 and 15 years. Classic teaching that closure of the physis dictates the overall fracture pattern, based on studies in the 1960s, has not been challenged. The aim of this paper is to analyze whether these injuries correlate with the advancing closure of the physis with age.

Methods

A fracture mapping study was performed in 83 paediatric patients with a triplane ankle fracture treated in three trauma centres between January 2010 and June 2020. Patients aged younger than 18 years who had CT scans available were included. An independent Paediatric Orthopaedic Trauma Surgeon assessed all CT scans and classified the injuries as n-part triplane fractures. Qualitative analysis of the fracture pattern was performed using the modified Cole fracture mapping technique. The maps were assessed for both patterns and correlation with the closing of the physis until consensus was reached by a panel of six surgeons.


Aims

Classifying trochlear dysplasia (TD) is useful to determine the treatment options for patients suffering from patellofemoral instability (PFI). There is no consensus on which classification system is more reliable and reproducible for the purpose of guiding clinicians’ management of PFI. There are also concerns about the validity of the Dejour Classification (DJC), which is the most widely used classification for TD, having only a fair reliability score. The Oswestry-Bristol Classification (OBC) is a recently proposed system of classification of TD, and the authors report a fair-to-good interobserver agreement and good-to-excellent intraobserver agreement in the assessment of TD. The aim of this study was to compare the reliability and reproducibility of these two classifications.

Methods

In all, six assessors (four consultants and two registrars) independently evaluated 100 axial MRIs of the patellofemoral joint (PFJ) for TD and classified them according to OBC and DJC. These assessments were again repeated by all raters after four weeks. The inter- and intraobserver reliability scores were calculated using Cohen’s kappa and Cronbach’s α.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_8 | Pages 117 - 117
11 Apr 2023
Roser M Izatt M Labrom R Askin G Little P
Full Access

Anterior vertebral body tethering (AVBT) is a growth modulating procedure used to manage idiopathic scoliosis by applying a flexible tether to the convex surface of the spine in skeletally immature patients. The purpose of this study is to determine the preliminary clinical outcomes for an adolescent patient cohort. 18 patients with scoliosis were selected using a narrow selection criteria to undergo AVBT. Of this cohort, 11 had reached a minimum follow up of 2 years, 4 had reached 18 months, and 3 had reached 6 months. These patients all demonstrated a primary thoracic deformity that was too severe for bracing, were skeletally immature, and were analysed in this preliminary study of coronal plane deformity correction. Using open-source image analysis software (ImageJ, NIH) PA radiographs taken pre-operatively and at regular follow-up visits post-operatively were used to measure the coronal plane deformity of the major and compensatory curves. Pre-operatively, the mean age was 12.0 years (S.D. 10.7 – 13.3), mean Sanders score 2.6 (S.D. 1.8-3.4), all Risser 0 and pre-menarchal, with mean main thoracic Cobb angle of 52° (S.D. 44.2-59.8°). Post-operatively the mean angle decreased to 26.4° (S.D. 18.4-32°) at 1 week, 30.4° (S.D. 21.3-39.6°) at 2 months, 25.7° (S.D. 18.7-32.8°) at 6 months, 27.9° (S.D. 16.2-39.6°) at 12 months, and 36.8° (S.D. 22.6– 51.0°) at 18 months and 38.2° (S.D. 27.6-48.7°) at 2 years. The change in curve at 2 years post-operative was statistically significant (P=0.004). There were 4 tether breakages identified that did not require return to theatre as yet, one patient underwent a posterior spinal instrumented fusion due to curve progression. AVBT is a promising new growth modulation technique for skeletally immature patients with progressive idiopathic scoliosis. This study has demonstrated a reduction in scoliosis severity


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 105-B, Issue 4 | Pages 431 - 438
15 Mar 2023
Vendeuvre T Tabard-Fougère A Armand S Dayer R

Aims

This study aimed to evaluate rasterstereography of the spine as a diagnostic test for adolescent idiopathic soliosis (AIS), and to compare its results with those obtained using a scoliometer.

Methods

Adolescents suspected of AIS and scheduled for radiographs were included. Rasterstereographic scoliosis angle (SA), maximal vertebral surface rotation (ROT), and angle of trunk rotation (ATR) with a scoliometer were evaluated. The area under the curve (AUC) from receiver operating characteristic (ROC) plots were used to describe the discriminative ability of the SA, ROT, and ATR for scoliosis, defined as a Cobb angle > 10°. Test characteristics (sensitivity and specificity) were reported for the best threshold identified using the Youden method. AUC of SA, ATR, and ROT were compared using the bootstrap test for two correlated ROC curves method.


Bone & Joint 360
Vol. 12, Issue 1 | Pages 17 - 20
1 Feb 2023

The February 2023 Hip & Pelvis Roundup360 looks at: Total hip arthroplasty or internal fixation for hip fracture?; Significant deterioration in quality of life and increased frailty in patients waiting more than six months for total hip or knee arthroplasty: a cross-sectional multicentre study; Long-term cognitive trajectory after total joint arthroplasty; Costal cartilage grafting for a large osteochondral lesion of the femoral head; Foley catheters not a problem in the short term; Revision hips still a mortality burden?; How to position implants with a robotic arm; Uncemented stems in hip fracture?


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 105-B, Issue 2 | Pages 140 - 147
1 Feb 2023
Fu Z Zhang Z Deng S Yang J Li B Zhang H Liu J

Aims

Eccentric reductions may become concentric through femoral head ‘docking’ (FHD) following closed reduction (CR) for developmental dysplasia of the hip (DDH). However, changes regarding position and morphology through FHD are not well understood. We aimed to assess these changes using serial MRI.

Methods

We reviewed 103 patients with DDH successfully treated by CR and spica casting in a single institution between January 2016 and December 2020. MRI was routinely performed immediately after CR and at the end of each cast. Using MRI, we described the labrum-acetabular cartilage complex (LACC) morphology, and measured the femoral head to triradiate cartilage distance (FTD) on the midcoronal section. A total of 13 hips with initial complete reduction (i.e. FTD < 1 mm) and ten hips with incomplete MRI follow-up were excluded. A total of 86 patients (92 hips) with a FTD > 1 mm were included in the analysis.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_1 | Pages 2 - 2
23 Jan 2023
Newton Ede M Pearson MJ Philp AM Cooke ME Nicholson T Grover LM Jones SW
Full Access

To determine whether spinal facet osteoblasts at the curve apex display a different phenotype to osteoblasts from outside the curve in patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS). Intrinsic differences in the phenotype of spinal facet bone tissue and in spinal osteoblasts have been implicated in the pathogenesis of AIS. However, no study has compared the phenotype of facet osteoblasts at the curve apex with the facet osteoblasts from outside the curve in patients with AIS. Facet bone tissue was collected from three sites, the concave and convex side at the curve apex and from outside the curve from three female patients with AIS (aged 13–16 years). Micro-CT analysis was used to determine the density and trabecular structure. Osteoblasts were then cultured from the sampled bone. Osteoblast phenotype was investigated by assessing cellular proliferation (MTS assay), cellular metabolism (alkaline phosphatase and Seahorse Analyser), bone nodule mineralisation (Alizarin red assay), and the mRNA expression of Wnt signalling genes (quantitative RT-PCR). Convex bone showed greater bone mineral density and trabecular thickness than did concave bone. The convex side of the curve apex exhibited a significantly higher proliferative and metabolic phenotype and a greater capacity to form mineralised bone nodules than did concave osteoblasts. mRNA expression of SKP2 was significantly greater in both concave and convex osteoblasts than in non-curve osteoblasts. The expression of SFRP1 was significantly downregulated in convex osteoblasts compared with either concave or non-curve. Intrinsic differences that affect osteoblast function are exhibited by spinal facet osteoblasts at the curve apex in patients with AIS


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 104-B, Issue 12 | Pages 1329 - 1333
1 Dec 2022
Renfree KJ

This annotation reviews current concepts on the three most common surgical approaches used for proximal interphalangeal joint arthroplasty: dorsal, volar, and lateral. Advantages and disadvantages of each are highlighted, and the outcomes are discussed.

Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2022;104-B(12):1329–1333.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 104-B, Issue SUPP_12 | Pages 83 - 83
1 Dec 2022
Bornes T Kubik J Klinger C Altintas B Dziadosz D Ricci W
Full Access

Tibial plateau fracture reduction involves restoration of alignment and articular congruity. Restorations of sagittal alignment (tibial slope) of medial and lateral condyles of the tibial plateau are independent of each other in the fracture setting. Limited independent assessment of medial and lateral tibial plateau sagittal alignment has been performed to date. Our objective was to characterize medial and lateral tibial slopes using fluoroscopy and to correlate X-ray and CT findings. Phase One: Eight cadaveric knees were mounted in extension. C-arm fluoroscopy was used to acquire an AP image and the C-arm was adjusted in the sagittal plane from 15° of cephalad tilt to 15 ° of caudad tilt with images captured at 0.5° increments. The “perfect AP” angle, defined as the angle that most accurately profiled the articular surface, was determined for medial and lateral condyles of each tibia by five surgeons. Given that it was agreed across surgeons that more than one angle provided an adequate profile of each compartment, a range of AP angles corresponding to adequate images was recorded. Phase Two: Perfect AP angles from Phase One were projected onto sagittal CT images in Horos software in the mid-medial compartment and mid-lateral compartment to determine the precise tangent subchondral anatomic structures seen on CT to serve as dominant bony landmarks in a protocol generated for calculating medial and lateral tibial slopes on CT. Phase Three: 46 additional cadaveric knees were imaged with CT. Tibial slopes were determined in all 54 specimens. Phase One: Based on the perfect AP angle on X-ray, the mean medial slope was 4.2°+/-2.6° posterior and mean lateral slope was 5.0°+/-3.8° posterior in eight knees. A range of AP angles was noted to adequately profile each compartment in all specimens and was noted to be wider in the lateral (3.9°+/-3.8°) than medial compartment (1.8°+/-0.7° p=0.002). Phase Two: In plateaus with a concave shape, the perfect AP angle on X-ray corresponded with a line between the superiormost edges of the anterior and posterior lips of the plateau on CT. In plateaus with a flat or convex shape, the perfect AP angle aligned with a tangent to the subchondral surface extending from center to posterior plateau on CT. Phase Three: Based on the CT protocol created in Phase Two, mean medial slope (5.2°+/-2.3° posterior) was significantly less than lateral slope (7.5°+/-3.0° posterior) in 54 knees (p<0.001). In individual specimens, the difference between medial and lateral slopes was variable, ranging from 6.8° more laterally to 3.1° more medially. In a paired comparison of right and left knees from the same cadaver, no differences were noted between sides (medial p=0.43; lateral p=0.62). On average there is slightly more tibial slope in the lateral plateau than medial plateau (2° greater). However, individual patients may have substantially more lateral slope (up to 6.8°) or even more medial slope (up to 3.1°). Since tibial slope was similar between contralateral limbs, evaluating slope on the uninjured side provides a template for sagittal plane reduction of tibial plateau fractures


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 104-B, Issue SUPP_11 | Pages 32 - 32
1 Nov 2022
Bernard J Bishop T Herzog J Haleem S Ajayi B Lui D
Full Access

Abstract. Aims. Vertebral body tethering (VBT) is a non-fusion technique to correct scoliosis allowing correction of scoliosis through growth modulation (GM) by tethering the convex side to allow concave unrestricted growth similar to the hemiepiphysiodesis concept. The other modality is anterior scoliosis correction (ASC) where the tether is able to perform most of the correction immediately where limited growth is expected. Methods. A retrospective analysis of 20 patients (M:F=19:1 – 9–17 years) between January 2014 to December 2016 with a mean five-year follow-up (4 to 7). Results. There were ten patients in each group with a total of 23 curves operated upon. VBT-GM mean age −12.5 years (9 to 14), mean Risser of 0.63 (0 to 2) and VBT-ASC was 14.9 years (13 to 17) and mean Risser of 3.66 (3 to 5). Mean preoperative VBT-GM Cobb was 47.4° (40°–58°) compared to VBT-ASC 56.5° (40°–79°). Postoperative VBT-GM Cobb was 20.3° and VBT-ASC was 11.2°. The early postoperative correction rate was 54.3% versus 81% whereas Fulcrum Bending Correction Index (FBCI) was 93.1% vs 146.6%. Latest Cobb angle at mean five years' follow-up was 19.4° (VBT-GM) and 16.5° (VBT-ASC). Overall, 5% of patients required fusion. Conclusion. We show a high success rate (95%) in helping children avoid fusion at five years post-surgery. VBT is a safe technique for scoliosis correction in the skeletally immature patient. This is the first report at five years showing two possible options of VBT depending on the skeletal maturity of the patient: GM and ASC


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 104-B, Issue 9 | Pages 1067 - 1072
1 Sep 2022
Helenius L Gerdhem P Ahonen M Syvänen J Jalkanen J Charalampidis A Nietosvaara Y Helenius I

Aims

The aim of this study was to evaluate whether, after correction of an adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS), leaving out the subfascial drain gives results that are no worse than using a drain in terms of total blood loss, drop in haemoglobin level, and opioid consumption.

Methods

Adolescents (aged between 10 and 21 years) with an idiopathic scoliosis (major curve ≥ 45°) were eligible for inclusion in this randomized controlled noninferiority trial (n = 125). A total of 90 adolescents who had undergone segmental pedicle screw instrumentation were randomized into no-drain or drain groups at the time of wound closure using the sealed envelope technique (1:1). The primary outcome was a drop in the haemoglobin level during first three postoperative days. Secondary outcomes were 48-hour postoperative oxycodone consumption and surgical complications.


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 104-B, Issue 8 | Pages 915 - 921
1 Aug 2022
Marya S Tambe AD Millner PA Tsirikos AI

Adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS), defined by an age at presentation of 11 to 18 years, has a prevalence of 0.47% and accounts for approximately 90% of all cases of idiopathic scoliosis. Despite decades of research, the exact aetiology of AIS remains unknown. It is becoming evident that it is the result of a complex interplay of genetic, internal, and environmental factors. It has been hypothesized that genetic variants act as the initial trigger that allow epigenetic factors to propagate AIS, which could also explain the wide phenotypic variation in the presentation of the disorder. A better understanding of the underlying aetiological mechanisms could help to establish the diagnosis earlier and allow a more accurate prediction of deformity progression. This, in turn, would prompt imaging and therapeutic intervention at the appropriate time, thereby achieving the best clinical outcome for this group of patients.

Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2022;104-B(8):915–921.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 104-B, Issue SUPP_8 | Pages 1 - 1
1 Aug 2022
Nicholson T Foster N Haj AE Ede MN Jones S
Full Access

We previously reported that osteoblasts at the curve apex in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) exhibit a differential phenotype, compared to non-curve osteoblasts(1). However, the Hueter-Volkmann principle on vertebral body growth in spinal deformities (2) suggests this could be secondary to altered biomechanics. This study examined whether non-curve osteoblasts subjected to mechanical strain resemble the transcriptomic phenotype of curve apex osteoblasts. Facet spinal tissue was collected perioperatively from three sites, (i) the concave and (ii) convex side at the curve apex and (iii) from outside the curve (non-curve) from six AIS female patients (age 13–18 years; NRES 19/WM/0083). Non-curve osteoblasts were subjected to strain using a 4-point bending device. Osteoblast phenotype was determined by RNA sequencing and bioinformatic pathway analysis. RNAseq revealed that curve apex osteoblasts exhibited a differential transcriptome, with 1014 and 1301 differentially expressed genes (DEGs; p<0.05, fold-change >1.5) between convex/non-curve and concave/non-curve sites respectively. Non-curve osteoblasts subjected to strain showed increased protein expression of the mechanoresponsive biomarkers COX2 and C-Fos. Comparing unstimulated vs strain-induced non-curve osteoblasts, 423 DEGs were identified (p<0.05, fold-change >1.5). Of these DEGs, only 5% and 6% were common to the DEGs found at either side of the curve apex, compared to non-curve cells. Bioinformatic analysis of these strain-induced DEGs revealed a different array of canonical signalling pathways and cellular processes, to those significantly affected in cells at the curve apex. Mechanical strain of AIS osteoblasts in vitro did not induce the differential transcriptomic phenotype of AIS osteoblasts at the curve apex


Bone & Joint 360
Vol. 11, Issue 4 | Pages 38 - 40
1 Aug 2022


Aims. The aim of this study was to review the current evidence surrounding curve type and morphology on curve progression risk in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS). Methods. A comprehensive search was conducted by two independent reviewers on PubMed, Embase, Medline, and Web of Science to obtain all published information on morphological predictors of AIS progression. Search items included ‘adolescent idiopathic scoliosis’, ‘progression’, and ‘imaging’. The inclusion and exclusion criteria were carefully defined. Risk of bias of studies was assessed with the Quality in Prognostic Studies tool, and level of evidence for each predictor was rated with the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations (GRADE) approach. In all, 6,286 publications were identified with 3,598 being subjected to secondary scrutiny. Ultimately, 26 publications (25 datasets) were included in this review. Results. For unbraced patients, high and moderate evidence was found for Cobb angle and curve type as predictors, respectively. Initial Cobb angle > 25° and thoracic curves were predictive of curve progression. For braced patients, flexibility < 28% and limited in-brace correction were factors predictive of progression with high and moderate evidence, respectively. Thoracic curves, high apical vertebral rotation, large rib vertebra angle difference, small rib vertebra angle on the convex side, and low pelvic tilt had weak evidence as predictors of curve progression. Conclusion. For curve progression, strong and consistent evidence is found for Cobb angle, curve type, flexibility, and correction rate. Cobb angle > 25° and flexibility < 28% are found to be important thresholds to guide clinical prognostication. Despite the low evidence, apical vertebral rotation, rib morphology, and pelvic tilt may be promising factors. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2022;104-B(4):424–432